Hot cars and greenhouse gases – how are they related?
During his confirmation hearing earlier this week, Lee Zeldin, the newly appointed Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Director, was asked about the linked issues of climate change and greenhouse gases. His responses were that he believes that climate change is real, and that CO2 is a pollutant that can contribute to climate change. In that, Mr. Zeldin is aligned with Governor DeSantis’ former and current Chief Science Officers, Drs. Tom Frazer and Mark Rains, respectively. And also aligned with the SBEP’s 2022 Comprehensive Conservation and Management Plan update, which mentions climate change nearly 100 times.
Climate change is real, and its impacts are beginning to manifest themselves in our region. Our air temperature is warmer now than the average conditions we experienced across the 20th Century. Both the Gulf of Mexico and Sarasota Bay are warmer now than they were several decades ago, as we’ve pointed out in prior Director’s Notes. Increased water temperatures are providing more “fuel” for tropical weather events, which is likely why there is a clear trend towards an increase in “major” hurricanes (Category 3 and higher) over the past few decades in the North Atlantic Basin. When you fire up the burners at the bottom of a hot air balloon, you increase what is called the “kinetic energy” of the air within the balloon’s envelope. This causes the air molecules (mostly di-nitrogen gas) to bounce against each other more often (and with greater force) increasing the space between each other, resulting in lower amounts of air molecules in a given space. This brings about decreased density, which is why hot air balloons rise up off the ground. Well, warm water expands in response to heat in a similar manner, but not outward, but upward, and onto our shorelines, which is the basis for the accelerated rate of sea level rise we’ve seen over the past few decades. We’ve had sea level rise ever since the last glacial maximum, about 20,000 years ago. But the average rate over the past few thousand years has been about 1 inch a decade, while we’ve experienced about 6 inches of sea level rise over the past 20 years alone. With a tidal range of about 18 inches, this means that by the year 2055, our average sea level should approximate what today’s high tide is, and high tide would likely be 9 inches stacked on top of that. Not a tsunami of water over our seawalls on a daily basis, but we expect more street and neighborhood flooding in low-lying areas, particularly if it rains on a high tide.